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GGN Weekly Geopolitical Summary

GGN WEEKLY GEOPOLITICAL SUMMARY(NOVEMBER 23-27)

MAIN EVENTS: 

(November 23-27)


EURASIA

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  • US slap sanctions on Russian companies and Chinese entities, due to the alleged violation of US non-proliferation legislation in respect of Iran, North Korea and Syria.
  • Russia’s defense ministry claimed that one of its warships had caught a U.S. Navy destroyer operating in Russia’s Pacific territorial waters.
  • Russian Gazprom Neft lays out plans for Arctic block with huge oil and gas potential.
  • Russia and Belarus discussed prospects of interaction in the fuel and energy sector.

ASIA PACIFIC

Sino-Federation

  • The Indonesian Navy announced they will move the headquarters of its combat squad to Natuna islands, located on a crucial passage for commercial shipping, bordering waters believed to have rich reserves of undiscovered oil and gas.
  • Taiwan and the US are moving ahead with a plan to finance infrastructure and energy projects in Asia to counter China’s global BRI
  • China visited South Korea to push forward linking of the Belt and Road Initiative.
  • China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi flew to Japan for talks amid regional tensions.

MIDDLE EAST

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  • Netanyahu visited Saudi Arabia to meet with Bin Salman, showing Riyadh has entered the normalization game.
  • A senior Iranian expert specialized in nuclear technology was assassinated in a terrorist attack in Tehran. Israel is suspected of the assassination.
  • The Iraqi Minister of Foreign Affairs warned that Daesh has intensified its activities in Iraq in recent months.
  • BP announced it will invest more money in Middle Eastern oil and natural-gas fields.
  • Russian Gazprom Neft said the Middle East remains in the zone of strategic interests of the company.
  • Houthis fired a missile at the oil distribution plant of Saudi Aramco in Jeddah.

EUROPE

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  • Greece has rejected new calls by Turkey to start exploratory talks to settle their maritime differences regarding the eastern Mediterranean.
  • MEPs have adopted an amendment calling on the European Council to impose sanctions on Turkey, after they unanimously voted to condemn its recent behavior in Cyprus and the surrounding territorial waters.
  • Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has accused the United States and several European countries of “gross interference” in the domestic affairs of Belarus.

AFRICA

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  • The EU warned fighting between Ethiopia’s military and regional forces from the northern Tigray region is seriously destabilizing the East African and Horn region.

SOUTH AMERICA

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  • China ratified its cooperation with Venezuela although the United States threatened to sanction countries that do business with the South American country.

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GGN WEEKLY GEOPOLITICAL SUMMARY (November 16-20)

MAIN EVENTS: 

(November 16-20)


EURASIA

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  • China is set to begin construction of a strategic railway line important for implementation of the Chinese plan for Tibet’s governance and national unity and stability in the border areas.
  • Saudi Arabia and Russia continue in a tight race to become China’s top oil supplier.
  • Protests against the Nagorno-Karabakh ceasefire agreement continue in Armenia, with demonstrators calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

CENTRAL ASIA

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  • Central Asian NGOs experts called on their governments to strengthen oversight of Belt and Road Initiative projects in the region, mainly been in infrastructure and extractive industries, attracted by mineral deposits and hydrocarbons.
  • China and Kyrgyzstan are willing to strengthen strategic coordination with in regional and international affairs, opposing to any external forces interfering in Kyrgyzstan’s internal affairs.

ASIA PACIFIC

Sino-Federation

  • Japan and Australia agreed on a breakthrough defence pact, and the navies of India, the United States, Australia and Japan continued holding exercises in the Northern Arabian Sea, as part of a regional initiative to counter China’s growing assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific.
  • Another Belt and Road project was canceled in Malaysia, the Melaka Gateway, raising questions about BRI future projects in the country.

SOUTH ASIA

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  • China reaffirmed its support to Pakistan in fighting terrorist forces and stressed that any scheme to sabotage the building of an economic corridor linking the two countries will not succeed.
  • Pakistan claimed to have evidence of India aiding “terrorist” activities from Afghan soil, targeting Chinese interests in its southern province of Balochistan.
  • Afghanistan sought the support of Pakistan to reduce surging violence in the war-torn country, as the Taliban resist calls for a cease-fire, with little headway in the ongoing peace talks.

MIDDLE EAST

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  • Egyptian, Russian Navies carried out drills in Black Sea to contribute to efforts to achieve security and stability in the Middle East
  • Mike Pompeo visits Golan Heights and West Bank settlement, in a provocative act before U.S. President Donald Trump leaves his post.
  • Bahrain’s foreign minister paid a history-making visit to Israel, in the latest sign of warming ties following a series of U.S.-brokered normalization accords between Israel and Arab nations.
  • Iraq and Saudi Arabia have reopened their land border, showing closer ties between the two countries, likely to irk Riyadh’s rival Tehran.
  • US embassy in Baghdad was targeted by rockets, after announcement of troop withdrawal.

EUROPE

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  • US increased its support for the Three Seas Initiative (3SI) to combat Chinese investment through the BRI and the “17 + 1” group.
  • As part of the Belt and Road Initiative, Turkey will build a transit-loan based main container port in the Eastern Mediterranean, which will operate as a gateway to the Middle East and Central Asia.

AFRICA

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  • Nigeria’s energy sector is about to receive a major boost from huge investment decisions from China, which is eyeing key exploration operations in the oil and gas sector in Africa.
  • Major oil companies have asked local authorities to boost surveillance on oil-producing and oil and infrastructure assets in Nigeria amid escalating protests against the government.
  • In Somalia, a suicide bomber blew himself up in a restaurant near a police academy in Somalia’s capital Mogadishu.

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GGN WEEKLY GEOPOLITICAL SUMMARY (November 9-13)

MAIN EVENTS: 

(November 9-13)


MIDDLE EAST

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  • United States announced is planning to sell advanced defense capabilities to United Arab Emirates, a longtime vital S. security partner.
  • The United States imposed new sanctions targeting Syria’s oil sector.
  • S has called for greater cooperation among Middle East countries to counter the threat from Iran.
  • Israel and Lebanon resumed US-mediated talks over their disputed Mediterranean Sea border.
  • Iraq has renewed its invitation to Saudi companies to invest in the country’s oil and gas sector.
  • Saudi Arabia and Iraq agreed to continue joint cooperation in confronting terrorism.
  • Saudi Aramco -among China’s largest crude suppliers- announced it wants to sell natural gas to China.
  • In Saudi Arabia, a bomb blast hit a World War I commemoration ceremony attended by Western diplomats, as Saudi Arabia prepares for the G20 leaders’ summit later this month.

EURASIA

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  • Armenia has signed a peace deal with Azerbaijan and Russia, bringing an end to fighting over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh. Violent protests broke out in the Armenian capital after the announcement, demanding PM’s resignation.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that “attempts to exert foreign pressure” in Belarus, Kyrgyzstan, and Moldova are “unacceptable.”

CENTRAL ASIA

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  • Experts warned that if instability spread through Central Asia – as it seems after Kyrgyzstan´s protests eruption following Kyrgyzstan’s disputed election- “the strategic, energy, political and security interest of China and Russia will be affected”.

EUROPE

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  • Greece and Egypt -that signed a maritime deal setting out respective exclusive economic zones- announced they wanted US President-elect Joe Biden’s to play a more active role in attempting to calm growing tensions in the eastern Mediterranean.
  • Sanctions that would hinder one of Russia’s most important projects in Europe, the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline, have been included in the annual U.S. defense policy bill.
  • Thousands of people marched in Tbilisi, Georgia, to reject the result of an election (supposedly fraudulent) that gave the governing party the right to form the country’s next government.

AFRICA

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  • Russia will open a naval base in Sudan, which will be the first for Russia in Africa since the Cold War.
  • US started with Sudan discussions to remove Khartoum from the state sponsor of terrorism list.
  • Attacks by armed groups have increased in Mozambique over the last few weeks.

SOUTH AMERICA

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  • Venezuela government visited Russia to “deepen strategic alliances”.

Tags: geopolitics, geopolitical, geopolitical conflicts, geopolitical facts, conflicts, energy, strategic resources, balancing, growing rivalry, rivalry.

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GGN Weekly Geopolitical Summary

Weekly Geopolitical Summary (November 2-6)

MAIN EVENTS:

(NOVEMBER 2-6)


ASIA PACIFIC

Sino-Federation

  • It was announced that China plans to further increase oil and gas exploration and accelerate the construction of more oil and gas storage infrastructure.
  • The Philippines said oil exploration in the disputed South China Sea can proceed without China, in what could be a further sign of the Southeast Asian nation’s tougher stance against Beijing.
  • Australia sends signal to China as it rejoins US, Japan and India for Malabar naval exercise, near the Malacca Strait, a natural choke point, along some of the world’s busiest trade routes.
  • China condemns U.S decision to drop the al-Qaeda-affiliated East Turkestan Islamic Movement from its list of terrorist organizations, as the ETIM has been engaged in terrorist activities seriously threatening the security and stability of China.

SOUTH ASIA

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  • Iran, Russia, and India hold trilateral meeting to discuss the issue of Afghanistan, expressing concern over the growth of terrorism and extremism in afghan territory.
  • At the beginning of the week, at least 19 people were killed when militants stormed Afghanistan’s biggest university. It was the second attack on an educational institution in the capital in just over a week. Both have been claimed by Islamic State.
  • China, with heavy investments in Pakistan, expressed concern about the security situation of the country, as religious-cum-sectarian attacks has been taking place exactly as the CPEC has been revived.
  • Pakistan calls again upon India to immediately end its illegal and forcible occupation of parts of Jammu & Kashmir.

MIDDLE EAST

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  • United Arab Emirates urged the need to confront Turkey’s expansionist agenda in the region.
  • Egypt and Iraq signed agreements to enhance bilateral ties including oil and water resources.

EUROPE

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  • In Belarus, thousands of Belarusians marched again through Minsk to demand veteran leader Alexander Lukashenko leave power.
  • In Austria, an attacker identified as an Islamist extremist opened fire on a crowd in Vienna’s nightlife district (five people died). ISIS claimed the responsibility.

AFRICA

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  • Ethiopia’s conflict in its powerful Tigray region continued as PM vows further operations. Observers warned the possibility of a civil war, which could destabilize the already turbulent Horn of Africa.
  • Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan have once again failed to agree on a new negotiating approach to resolve their years-long dispute over the controversial dam that Ethiopia is building on the Blue Nile River.

Tags: geopolitics, geopolitical, geopolitical conflicts, geopolitical facts, conflicts, energy, strategic resources, balancing, growing rivalry, rivalry.

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GGN Weekly Geopolitical Summary

Weekly Geopolitical Summary

MAIN EVENTS:

(OCTOBER 26-30)


ASIA PACIFIC

Sino-Federation

  • U.S. finished a tour of Asia in which he has harangued partners and would-be partners to push back against China’s increasing political and military inroads in the region.

SOUTH ASIA

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  • United States warned Sri Lanka against its tightening ties with China, putting a spotlight on the growing rivalry between the S. and China for influence in the region.
  • India and the United States signed a new defense agreement, the so-called Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement (BECA), to facilitate the exchange of high-end military technology and classified satellite data between their armies.
  • India and the US reiterated in a joint statement their call for Pakistan to take irreversible action to ensure its territory isn’t used for terror attacks.

EURASIA

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  • Both Armenia and Azerbaijan reported more fighting relate to Nagorno-Karabakh conflict despite brokered ceasefire facilitated by the United States, after two failed attempts by Russia.

MIDDLE EAST

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  • U.S. unveils more sanctions on Iran, including sanctions for Iranian oil sales. They are part of a maximum pressure campaign that so far has failed to achieve its goal of getting Iran to halt its missile development program and stop supporting militant groups in the region.
  • Chevron announced is staking its natural gas future on the Middle East. The new strategy is seeing the company pitch new gas deals in Egypt, Israel, and Qatar.
  • In Iraq, thousands of people took to the streets against the Government, in demand of changes in the ruling elite.

EUROPE

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  • Turkey is increasing the volume of cooperation with the BRI-related countries in terms of enabling the Middle Corridor, which lies at the heart of the BRI linking Turkey to Georgia and Azerbaijan via rail, crossing the Caspian Sea and reaches China through Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan.
  • Ukraine initiates an urgent meeting of the security subgroup of Trilateral Contact Group (TCG, group of representatives from Ukraine, Russia and Europe) due to aggravation in Donbas.
  • Ukraine has urged the United States to expand sanctions aimed at stopping construction of the Kremlin-backed Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which would bring gas to Germany under the Baltic Sea, bypassing Ukraine.
  • In Belarus, at least 100,000 people marched to give what they called a “people’s ultimatum” to president Lukashenko (it was the 11th consecutive Sunday of protest in the country).

Tags: geopolitics, geopolitical, geopolitical conflicts, geopolitical facts, conflicts, energy, strategic resources, balancing, growing rivalry.