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geopolitics

SOUTH ASIA:

INDIAN OCEAN:

  • Russian, Iranian, and Chinese naval drills will be held in the Indian Ocean in mid-February. A Zionist media outlet described it as a step by Iran to challenge the navies of some Western countries in the region. After the US-French naval alliance in the Persian Gulf, Iran intends to show its strength, the Zionist Jerusalem Post wrote in an analysis.

SOURCE: MEHR NEWS


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Anti-Goverment Protests

Mauritius

MAURITIUS:

  • MAURITIUS: Tens of thousands of Mauritians have marched in the capital city to protest against the government’s handling of a giant oil spill off its pristine Indian Ocean coast. The protest was the biggest demonstration Mauritius has seen in 40 years.

SOURCE: DW

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Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis

Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis

Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis:

 

PERSPECTIVES AND TRENDS:        

JULY 2020 

During July, several strategic geopolitical centers were the scene of different military maneuvers of different kinds, with varying degrees of intensity and eventual danger of escalation.

In the Pacific and Indian Oceans, US conducted simultaneous naval drills with partners Australia, Japan and India, following the on-off “Quadrilateral” defense arrangement, a concept that envisions establishing an Asian Arc around China.

In the Indian Ocean, India has deployed almost its entire fleet of ships and submarines, likely a clear signal to China. Furthermore, suggests that India is tightening its grip on the crucial Malacca Strait, a development that will surely set off alarm bells in Beijing.

In the disputed South China Sea, the United States and China have simultaneously conducted military exercises, dueling big boat deployments that threaten to tilt the volatile maritime region ever closer to a superpower conflict.

Also in July, Chinese warplanes have violated Taiwan’s airspace on an almost daily basis (in response Taiwan’s defense forces carried out major live-fire drills on the country’s west coast). 

With the eastern Mediterranean in mind, the United States is planning to conduct military training with Cyprus related to tensions flared over Turkey’s drilling for gas reserves near Greek islands.

Finally, in the South Caucasus Azerbaijan and Armenia have clashed -also during July- on their border in a new escalation of their long territorial conflict.

 

What is in dispute?

Indian Ocean: Some 80% of the world’s maritime oil trade flows through three narrow passages of water, known as choke points, in the Indian Ocean. This includes the Strait of Hormuz which provides the only sea passage from the Persian Gulf to the open ocean. Actually, the Indian Ocean is becoming a pivotal zone of strategic competition, with China investing hundreds of billions of dollars in infrastructure projects across the region as part of its One Belt One Road initiative. Also important is the increasing role of Russia and Saudi Arabia in the Western Indian Ocean, fact that has gone fairly unnoticed.

South China Sea: bordered by Brunei, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, the South China Sea is a critical commercial gateway for a significant portion of the world’s merchant shipping, and contains significant reserves of undiscovered oil and gas. Some countries (like Japan and South Korea) rely heavily on the South China Sea for their supply of fuels and raw materials and as an export route. U.S. also have interests in the South China Sea, tied to economic sea-lanes; defense ties with allies and other security partners; and implications for the global balance of power and influence.

Eastern Mediterranean: linked to vital waterways such as the Suez Canal, the Strait of Gibraltar and the Bosporus, the Eastern Mediterranean is crucial for Middle East, North Africa, West Asia and Southern Europe. Furthermore, is reemerging as a crucial crossroads and becoming a massive hydrocarbon subsea riches, that could turn the region into one of the world’s most important sources of natural gas over the next half-century. Fully exploited, could transform the international energy market, reducing Europe’s dependence on Russian gas. The Eastern Mediterranean is home to the largest offshore natural gas discoveries of this millennium, with prospects for significant additional findings.

South Caucasus: the South Caucasus played an important role in regional geopolitics, because of its special geographical position at the crossroads of Asia, Europe and the Middle East, acquiring also special significance in the post-Soviet period, when significant oil and gas fields were discovered in Azerbaijan and Central Asian countries. Great prospects are opening up in the construction of new gas and oil pipelines from Central Asia and Iran along the Caspian Sea to Azerbaijan and further to the EU countries.

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Geopolitical conflicts

South Asia

SOUTH ASIA:

  • Indian Navy has deployed almost its entire fleet of ships and submarines into the Indian Ocean. The moves are likely a clear signal to China: that India will not back down, either on land or sea. Furthermore, the move suggests that India is tightening its grip on the crucial Malacca Strait, a development that will surely set off alarm bells in Beijing.

SOURCE: ASIA TIMES                https://asiatimes.com/2020/07/indian-navy-deployment-sends-clear-message-to-china/

 

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Geopolitical conflicts

Global Geopolitic Newsletter

ASIA PACIFIC:

  • The US conducted simultaneous naval drills in the Pacific and Indian Oceans with democratic allies and partners Australia, Japan and India. The four countries comprise the on-off “Quadrilateral” defense arrangement, a concept that envisions establishing an “Asian Arc of Democracy” around authoritarian China.

SOURCE: ASIA TIMES                https://asiatimes.com/2020/07/quad-alliance-forms-arc-of-democracy-around-china/

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Geopolitical conflicts

Global Geopolitic Newsletter

SOUTH ASIA:

  • China has begun pulling back troops from along its contested border with India. This comes after weeks of tensions between the Asian nations following their worst border skirmish in more than five decades.

The recent hostility that erupted between two of the world’s biggest oil importers China and India, could increase security threats along the second most important oil chokepoint in the world, the Strait of Malacca. This vital strait connects the Indian Ocean with the Pacific Ocean through the South China Sea and is the shortest oil shipping route from oil suppliers in the Middle East to the Asian markets such as China, Japan, and South Korea.

SOURCES:AL JAZEERAOIL PRICE https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/07/china-pulling-troops-deadly-border-clash-india-200706091813810.html

https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Asia/Can-India-Really-Shut-Down-Oil-Supply-To-China.html


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