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GLOBAL GEOPOLITICAL NEWS DEC 4

Just the essential

December 4, 2020

 

SOUTH ASIA:

South_Asia_UN_(orthographic_projection).svg

ALLIANCES:

  • INDIA-SRI LANKA-MALDIVES: India-Sri Lanka-Maldives returned to the trilateral maritime security dialogue, a demonstration of the Indian intent to push subregional diplomacy, while China is expanding its military presence in the Indian Ocean and has been developing serious inroads into the region through bases and other strategic networks. Both Sri Lanka and the Maldives are critical maritime neighbors to India in the Indian Ocean region and there have been continuous efforts by both India and China to win friends and favors in Colombo and Male.

SOURCE: THE DIPLOMAT

 

TERRORISM:

  • AFGHANISTAN: Former Afghan intelligence chief turned politician Rahmatullah Nabil reaffirmed the claims of the UN report that Al-Qaeda still maintains close ties with the Taliban, and as the Taliban continues to maintain strategic ties with the Al-Qaeda, their alliance remains the bone of contention in adhering to the terms of the US-Taliban deal. Military engagements of the group alongside the Taliban in various provinces of the country are likely to result in increased violence.

SOURCE: ORFONLINE ORG


MIDDLE EAST: Middle_East_(orthographic_projection)

CONFLICTS:

  • IRAN: Israel worries that Biden will re-adopt Obama’s Iran policy. Israel believes Iran will accept a US proposal, if one is made, that would include a lifting of some sanctions and a full return by Iran and the United States to the nuclear agreement. Israel’s security agencies would give a lot for an opportunity to change the next administration’s views on Iran. The two sides are already exchanging messages mostly through various think tanks and media monitoring.

SOURCE: AL MONITOR

 

EXPERT COMMENTS:

  • IRAN : U.S. shouldn’t reenter Iran Nuclear Deal, according to James Jay Carafano (Vice President, Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute), that criticized former Secretary of State John Kerry—the great architect of the deal—, because he claimed the Iranian regime would act more responsibly after it, and it didn’t. Iran fueled insurgencies, wars and terrorism in Syria, Yemen, Israel and Iraq, and remains the world’s most dangerous sponsor of terrorism. Kerry, according to Carabano, claimed that the Iranians after the deal would stop pursuing nuclear weapons but again, they didn’t.

SOURCE: HERITAGE ORG


ASIA PACIFIC:Sino-Federation

STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • CHINA: The Pentagon added CNOOC to its list of companies with alleged ties to China’s military, blocking US investment in the firm from next year. The company has no known direct ownership links to the Chinese military. Its inclusion may be linked to its activities in the South China Sea, where Washington has been pushing back more strongly against Beijing’s disputed territorial claims.

SOURCE: ARGUS MEDIA


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GLOBAL GEOPOLITICAL NEWS DEC 3

Just the essential

December 3, 2020

 

ASIA PACIFIC:

Sino-Federation

INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS:

  • CHINA: Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, 20% of BRI projects had been “seriously affected” by the virus, with up to 40% being “somewhat affected”. All countries involved in the BRI have seen construction and supply chains halted or slowed by the pandemic. The largest decline in BRI investments was in energy investments.

SOURCE: INVESTMENT MONITOR


EURASIA:

Eurasia_(orthographic_projection).svg

ALLIANCES:

  • CHINA: China’s Prime Minister Li Keqiang said his nation is ready to share development opportunities with Russia and strengthen cooperation between the two countries.

SOURCE: TELESUR ENGLISH

STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • CHINA: China has started operations at the second section of a gas pipeline link to Russia, boosting its supplies through the Power of Siberia 1 pipeline.

SOURCE: ARGUSMEDIA


MIDDLE EAST:

Middle_East_(orthographic_projection)

CONFLICTS:

  • IRAQ: Skirmishes between the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) and forces from the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) have raised fears of a full-blown conflict in northern Iraq. The PKK has come under growing pressure from Turkey, who has built a close working relationship with KRG, with an oil pipeline allowing Iraqi-Kurdish authorities to market their oil exports independently of the federal government in Baghdad.

SOURCE: AL JAZEERA

ALLIANCES:

  • QATAR AND SAUDI ARABIA: Qatar and Saudi Arabia are close to striking a preliminary agreement to end a dispute that has pitted the Gulf neighbours against each other for more than three years. The expected deal comes after United States visit to the Gulf region, before the Trump administration leaves office in January.

SOURCE: AL JAZEERA

  • BAHRAIN AND ISRAEL: Bahrain -fourth Arab country to form diplomatic relations with Israel- signed with Israel several agreements and assured that stands with Israel against an Iranian threat.

SOURCE: ANADOLU AGENCY


EUROPE:

1200px-Europe_orthographic_Caucasus_Urals_boundary_(with_borders).svg

CONFLICTS:

  • EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN: EU warns Turkey of quick sanctions if dialogue over Eastern Mediterranean drilling and Cyprus fails

SOURCE: EURO NEWS

  • EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN: Outgoing US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo took aim at Turkey, decrying Ankara for compounding tensions with other allies in the Mediterranean (and for buying a Russian-made anti-aircraft system).

SOURCE: EURO NEWS


AFRICA:

1200px-Africa_(orthographic_projection).svg

TERRORISM:

  • NIGERIA: The Nigerian Army denounced that “there is an international conspiracy to cut Nigeria to size and compromise national renegades making attempts to destabilize and dismember Nigeria, if possible, in subservience to the international paymasters, who are the owners of Boko Haram”.

SOURCE: RIPPLES NIGERIA


SOUTH AMERICA:

1200px-South_America_(orthographic_projection).svg

STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • BRAZIL: Brazil’s Petrobras could expand its operations into neighboring Guyana, whose production is quickly expanding after a series of blockbuster offshore finds.

SOURCE: REUTERS


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GLOBAL GEOPOLITICAL NEWS DEC 2

Just the essential

December 2, 2020

 

ASIA PACIFIC:

Sino-Federation

CONFLICTS:

  • CHINA: China rejected U.S. accusations it is weakening its enforcement of U.N. sanctions against North Korea. China is North Korea’s most important ally but agreed to U.N. sanctions after North Korea conducted nuclear and missile tests.

SOURCE: CP 24

  • RUSSIA: The Russian military announced the deployment of its S-300V4 advanced air-defense missiles to the Kurile Islands claimed by Japan. Japan has lodged a protest after Russia’s move.

SOURCE: NEW EUROPE

 

ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTESTS:

  • THAILAND: Thailand’s government is facing a sustained protest campaign that has brought thousands of people out on the streets to demand the resignation of Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha and his cabinet, constitutional changes drafted by representatives, and reform of the monarchy under the constitution.

SOURCE: ASIA NIKEI


EURASIA:

Eurasia_(orthographic_projection).svg

 STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • RUSSIA: Russian Rosneft consolidates position in largest Arctic oil project. It´s expected to buy the Payakha field licenses in the Taymyr Peninsula from Neftegazholding, thus securing its full control over the Vostok Oil project.

SOURCE: THE BARENTS OBSERVER


SOUTH ASIA:

South_Asia_UN_(orthographic_projection).svg

CONFLICTS:

  • AFGHANISTAN: Afghan government and Taliban representatives said they had reached a preliminary deal considered a major breakthrough because it will allow negotiators to move on to more substantive issues, including talks on a ceasefire.

SOURCE: CGTN

 

STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • INDIA: India, world’s third biggest oil importer and consumer, looks to resume supplies from Iran and Venezuela, after U.S. President-elect Joe Biden takes office.

SOURCE: REUTERS

  • INDIA: US Exxon Mobil is in talks to buy a stake in producing oil and gas fields in India.

SOURCE: FINANCIAL EXPRESS


MIDDLE EAST:

Middle_East_(orthographic_projection)

CONFLICTS:

  • IRAN: The Iranian president has called on the international community to confront the Israeli regime’s atrocities against Palestinians, and expressed regret over Israel’s expansionist policy by constructing more and more Jewish settlements on the West Bank and East al-Quds, and the cruel blockade of the Gaza Strip.

SOURCE: IFP NEWS

 

TERRORISM:

  • IRAQ: Islamic State increases attacks in Iraq’s Sunni areas. It has conducted several attacks in recent weeks on the Sunni-majority provinces of Anbar and Salahuddin.

SOURCE: AL MONITOR


AFRICA:

1200px-Africa_(orthographic_projection).svg

CONFLICTS:

  • ETHIOPIA: Ethiopia and the United Nations reached an agreement to channel desperately needed humanitarian aid to a northern region where a month of war has killed, wounded and uprooted large numbers of people.

SOURCE: REUTERS

 

TERRORISM:

  • NIGERIA: The Boko Haram jihadist group claimed responsibility for a brutal massacre of farm workers in northeast Nigeria over the weekend as the death toll rose to 76.

SOURCE: THE DEFENSE POST


LATIN AMERICA:

descarga

STRATEGIC RESOURCES:

  • VENEZUELA: Venezuela resumes direct oil shipments to China despite U.S. embargoes.

SOURCE: FLEETMON


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Middle East

MIDDLE EAST

  • IRAQ: The Iraqi Minister of Foreign Affairs warned that Daesh has intensified its activities in Iraq in recent months. At the end of 2017, the Iraqi authorities declared victory over the terrorist group, but the armed organization continues to operate through sleeper cells in some parts of the country.

SOURCE: MIDDLE EAST MONITOR

 

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AFRICA

  • MOZAMBIQUE: Attacks by armed groups, including the killing of civilians in different parts of northern Cabo Delgado province have increased over the last few weeks. Dozens of people have reportedly died.

SOURCE: OHCHR ORG

 

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MIDDLE EAST

  • SAUDI ARABIA: Bombing against a gathering of Western diplomats (see GNN Terrorism November) was claimed by the Islamic State. The attacks, which underscore Muslim fury over French satirical cartoons of the Prophet Mohammed, come as Saudi Arabia prepares for the G20 leaders’ summit later this month — the first to be hosted by an Arab nation.

SOURCE: FRANCE 24

 

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Europe

EUROPE

  • AUSTRIA: ISIS claimed responsibility for deadly shooting rampage in Vienna (see also GGN November), but provided no evidence to back up its claims. ISIS recently asked its followers to carry out attacks in Europe.

SOURCE: THE NATIONAL NEWS

 

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EUROPE

  • AUSTRIA: An attacker later identified as an Islamist extremist opened fire on a crowd in Vienna’s nightlife district. Five people died.

SOURCE: THE HILL

 

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South Asia

SOUTH ASIA

  • AFGHANISTAN: The attack in Kabul University (see GGN November 2020) was the second attack on an educational institution in the capital in just over a week. Both have been claimed by Islamic State. Some Afghan government officials have accused the Taliban of involvement (the Taliban are holding talks with the aim of brokering a peace deal).

SOURCE: SKY NEWS

 

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AFRICA

  • SOMALIA: The United States strongly backed efforts to disrupt the illegal financing methods used by Somalia’s al-Shabab extremist group, which raised more than the $21 million it spent last year on fighters, weapons and intelligence. It´s committed to partnering with other countries and using U.N. sanctions. Al-Qaida-linked al-Shabab remains the most active and resilient extremist group in Africa.

SOURCE: AP NEWS

 

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